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Forecast Algorithm

Merchbees look at recent sales and stockout information when generating a forecast. We use the last 30 days when the product had available inventory to calculate the sales velocity.
  1. 1.
    We look at sales and stock over the last 30 days.
  2. 2.
    If the product went out of stock during the last 30 days, we would look at the nearest 30 days when the stock was available in 90 days to calculate the sales velocity.
  3. 3.
    If the product had less than 30 in-stock days, the forecast is calculated as total sales/ number of in-stock days. Note: if the number of in-stock days is <= 7, we divide total sales over 7 days by default.
If you want to change the 30-day parameter or do not use stockout information please contact us via live chat.
There is one exceptional case in which we do not use stockout information; 'continue selling when out-of-stock products'.

Continue selling when out-of-stock products

Since these products can be sellable independent of inventory on hand. Merchbees do not use stock-out information for these types of products. The forecast is calculated as average sales for the last 30 days for them.

New accounts

Merchbees starts to keep inventory history when you connect Merchbees to your store. Since we cannot see past inventory data, we assume that all products have positive inventory before you install our app.
Note for old customers: If you install the application before November 6, 2022, we start to keep inventory history after you subscribe to Enterprise+ Plan and give access to order data.
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If you have a different need for a forecast, please don't hesitate to contact us! We are always here to help! You can say hello with live chat on merchbees.com or send an email to [email protected].
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